Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 5.378294 6.127103 6.952184 7.930344 9.060412 10.327394 11.858905
2025-05-18 4.289328 5.242252 6.375195 7.827252 9.647195 11.863528 14.783436
2025-05-25 3.626822 4.664883 5.969588 7.741073 10.100883 13.160223 17.465770
2025-06-01 3.139812 4.207329 5.610475 7.607041 10.402913 14.220106 19.896938
2025-06-08 2.756857 3.824556 5.282358 7.441655 10.598546 15.106952 22.144154
2025-06-15 2.593771 3.716299 5.304352 7.746987 11.466650 17.011256 26.077424
2025-06-22 2.394961 3.530329 5.187706 7.823857 11.987150 18.436879 29.436704
2025-06-29 2.194179 3.317893 5.005207 7.771622 12.287892 19.535619 32.385582
2025-07-06 2.012240 3.114677 4.813500 7.677853 12.500011 20.497358 35.202351
2025-07-13 1.926319 3.052057 4.832386 7.919907 13.281865 22.476655 40.025047
2025-07-20 1.835222 2.971514 4.812542 8.090701 13.952747 24.327995 44.844018
2025-07-27 1.776135 2.937404 4.863962 8.384525 14.864490 26.698767 50.942719
2025-08-03 1.631852 2.749191 4.641683 8.179740 14.860084 27.404445 53.927211
2025-08-10 1.517897 2.603940 4.481189 8.070398 15.020260 28.436060 57.708988
2025-08-17 1.418481 2.475931 4.339719 7.980998 15.205442 29.529910 61.760672
2025-08-24 1.321580 2.344573 4.180929 7.842402 15.276167 30.395524 65.427412
2025-08-31 1.229338 2.214558 4.013913 7.671433 15.261449 31.077803 68.769409
2025-09-07 1.207925 2.214506 4.089710 7.987074 16.282223 34.062321 77.847904
2025-09-14 1.158567 2.157398 4.051323 8.066545 16.808841 36.029303 84.789944
2025-09-21 1.097545 2.073143 3.953217 8.012542 17.038052 37.353493 90.337890
2025-09-28 1.036583 1.984613 3.839815 7.915602 17.160660 38.444101 95.449589
2025-10-05 1.016251 1.975581 3.885768 8.165849 18.097722 41.558110 106.343039
2025-10-12 0.989368 1.951189 3.898014 8.342437 18.881348 44.394874 116.945662